Shocks to Transition Risk

We propose and implement a method to identify shocks to #transitionrisk addressing key challenges regarding its definition and #measurement. Our shocks are instances where significant new information about the economic relevance of climate change increases the valuation of #greenfirms over #brownfirms. To illustrate our method, we identify shocks to transition risk in the #us. These shocks have important aggregate effects, also inducing #financialinstability. They are […]

The Information Value of Past Losses in Operational Risk

“We show that past operational losses are informative of future losses, even after controlling for a wide range of financial characteristics. We propose that the information provided by past losses results from them capturing hard to quantify factors such as the quality of operational risk controls, the risk culture, and the risk appetite of the bank.” Lire

Comparative Analysis Regulatory of AI and Algorithm in UK, EU and USA

“The European Artificial Intelligence Board (EAIB) would be established as a new enforcement authority at the Union level. National supervisors will flank EAIB at the Member State level. Fines of up to ‘6% of global turnover, or 30 million euros for individual corporations’ can be imposed.” Lire

Should Bank Stress Tests Be Fair?

“We argue that simply pooling data across banks treats banks equally but is subject to two deficiencies: it may distort the impact of legitimate portfolio features, and it is vulnerable to implicit misdirection of legitimate information to infer bank identity. We compare various notions of regression fairness to address these deficiencies, considering both forecast accuracy […]